Odds vs Flow · LONGITUDE

Tonight's card · Saturday, September 26, 2026

6 bouts, one rope each

5crowd

1 even

0smart money

◀ crowd pullingsmart money pulling ▶

Odds vs Flow · PolymarketBout 01Nº 174565-33Keep this portion · market #4727099

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 26?

Yes99¢

No1¢

Implied: 99% yes
Bid / ask: 100¢ / 100¢
Volume: $125.3K
Last 24h: $115.5K · 56 bettors
Liquidity: $130.7K
Closes: Sep 26, 2026 · 16:00 UTC

Crowd says upPrices are the crowd's implied probability of YES. Conviction 0.98 = |99 − 50| / 50. Not advice.

Bout 01

Bitcoin

Contested

Crowd 99¢ yes · conviction 0.98knot at −0.69Smart money selling · strength 0.29

0with the crowdpick a side0with smart money

The crowd has the rope: YES trades at 99¢ (the crowd leans up on Bitcoin) while smart money is selling $288K this week.

Smart money · WBTC · ethereum

+$0.00Nansen

7-day net flow · selling

24h: +$0.00
30d: -$148.9K
Traders: 9
Mkt cap: $9.74B

current

0.29

draining out ▶

Odds vs Flow · PolymarketBout 02Nº 878995-55Keep this portion · market #4052463

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?

Yes1¢

No99¢

Implied: 1% yes
Bid / ask: ···
Volume: $287.8K
Last 24h: $59.1K · 42 bettors
Liquidity: $142.8K
Closes: Oct 1, 2026 · 04:00 UTC

Crowd says upPrices are the crowd's implied probability of YES. Conviction 0.98 = |1 − 50| / 50. Not advice.

Bout 02

Ethereum

Contested

Crowd 1¢ yes · conviction 0.98knot at −0.78Smart money selling · strength 0.20

0with the crowdpick a side0with smart money

The crowd has the rope: YES trades at 1¢ (the crowd leans up on Ethereum) while smart money is selling $106K this week.

Smart money · WETH · ethereum

+$0.00Nansen

7-day net flow · selling

24h: -$97.7K
30d: -$146.8K
Traders: 25
Mkt cap: $5.59B

current

0.20

draining out ▶

Odds vs Flow · PolymarketBout 03Nº 655185-45Keep this portion · market #4052469

Will Solana reach $150 in September?

Yes3¢

No97¢

Implied: 3% yes
Bid / ask: 2¢ / 4¢
Volume: $63.7K
Last 24h: $12.2K · 22 bettors
Liquidity: $27.2K
Closes: Oct 1, 2026 · 04:00 UTC

Crowd says downPrices are the crowd's implied probability of YES. Conviction 0.94 = |3 − 50| / 50. Not advice.

Bout 03

Solana

Contested

Crowd 3¢ yes · conviction 0.94knot at −0.62Smart money buying · strength 0.32

0with the crowdpick a side0with smart money

The crowd has the rope: YES trades at 3¢ (the crowd leans down on Solana) while smart money is buying $382K this week.

Smart money · SOL · solana

+$0.00Nansen

7-day net flow · buying

24h: +$59.3K
30d: +$6.61M
Traders: 514
Mkt cap: $1.47B

current

0.32

◀ flowing in

Odds vs Flow · PolymarketBout 04Nº 730408-76Keep this portion · market #701726

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Yes84¢

No16¢

Implied: 84% yes
Bid / ask: 81¢ / 86¢
Volume: $690.7K
Last 24h: $13.9K · 27 bettors
Liquidity: $3.6K
Closes: Jan 1, 2027 · 05:00 UTC

Crowd says upPrices are the crowd's implied probability of YES. Conviction 0.68 = |84 − 50| / 50. Not advice.

Bout 04

Hyperliquid

Contested

Crowd 84¢ yes · conviction 0.68knot at −0.53Smart money selling · strength 0.15

0with the crowdpick a side0with smart money

The crowd has the rope: YES trades at 84¢ (the crowd leans up on Hyperliquid) while smart money is selling $57K this week.

Smart money · HYPE · hyperevm

+$0.00

7-day net flow · selling

24h: +$1.8K
30d: -$336.8K
Traders: 87
Mkt cap: $20.49B

current

0.15

draining out ▶

Odds vs Flow · PolymarketBout 05Nº 870591-11Keep this portion · market #1339767

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes8¢

No92¢

Implied: 8% yes
Bid / ask: 7¢ / 8¢
Volume: $4.01M
Last 24h: $60.3K · 30 bettors
Liquidity: $205.4K
Closes: Jan 1, 2027 · 05:00 UTC

Crowd says upPrices are the crowd's implied probability of YES. Conviction 0.84 = |8 − 50| / 50. Not advice.

Bout 05

Bitcoin

Contested

Crowd 8¢ yes · conviction 0.84knot at −0.55Smart money selling · strength 0.29

0with the crowdpick a side0with smart money

The crowd has the rope: YES trades at 8¢ (the crowd leans up on Bitcoin) while smart money is selling $288K this week.

Smart money · WBTC · ethereum

+$0.00Nansen

7-day net flow · selling

24h: +$0.00
30d: -$148.9K
Traders: 9
Mkt cap: $9.74B

current

0.29

draining out ▶

Odds vs Flow · PolymarketBout 06Nº 984365-13Keep this portion · market #4797724

Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?

Yes62¢

No38¢

Implied: 62% yes
Bid / ask: 61¢ / 62¢
Volume: $174.9K
Last 24h: $56.6K · 99 bettors
Liquidity: $73.8K
Closes: Oct 1, 2026 · 04:00 UTC

Crowd says downPrices are the crowd's implied probability of YES. Conviction 0.24 = |62 − 50| / 50. Not advice.

Bout 06

Bitcoin

Same side

Crowd 62¢ yes · conviction 0.24knot at +0.05Smart money selling · strength 0.29

0with the crowdpick a side0with smart money

No fight here: the crowd leans down on Bitcoin and smart money is selling $288K. Same lean, same weight.

Smart money · WBTC · ethereum

+$0.00Nansen

7-day net flow · selling

24h: +$0.00
30d: -$148.9K
Traders: 9
Mkt cap: $9.74B

current

0.29

draining out ▶